Finished yesterday 26.07.12 with a profit of -74.2$ over 175$ invested, making our global profit at -216.9$ over 4645$ invested.
Finalizamos la jornada de ayer 24.07.12 con un beneficio de -74.2$ sobre 175$ invertidos, que da un beneficio global de -216.9$ sobre 4645$ invertidos.
Finalizamos la jornada de ayer 24.07.12 con un beneficio de -74.2$ sobre 175$ invertidos, que da un beneficio global de -216.9$ sobre 4645$ invertidos.
How we bet different amounts for different tipsters is fully explained here (para entender las diferentes cantidades en tipsters distintos está explicado aquí):
http://alquimista1x2.blogspot.com.es/2012/07/back-to-business-volvemos-al-negocio.html
PROGRAMA APUESTAS (los picks están detallados más abajo)
BETTING PROGRAM (the picks are detailed below)
APUESTAS DE ALQUIMISTA - ALQUIMISTA'S BETS
(13.00) Japan - Sweden (Olympics Women Football) - LIVE bet
4 APUESTAS/BETS FOR TOMORROW SUNDAY 29.07.12
APUESTAS DE BETTING FAMILY - BETTING FAMILY'S BETS
We are not following this tipster until further notice
APUESTAS DE BE7MAN - BE7MAN'S BETS
2 Apuestas/Bets
APUESTAS DE LORDAPUESTAS - LORDAPUESTAS' BETS
8 Apuesta/Bet
APUESTAS DE KALUBA - KALUBA'S BETS
1 Apuesta/Bet
APUESTAS DEL BLOG
WEBSITE BETS
LIVE BET
This line is absolutely influenced by the tremendous and wonderful Olympic qualifying tournament the Nigerians did to get to the Olympics, playing their best ever basketball, beating superior teams like Lithuania, Greece and Dominican Republic. 8 of the players are born in the USA, so there is a bit of a trick here, but apart from a spectacular and fun watching play, they are very anarquic, and if the points do not come easily, they can become desperate. Tunisia, on the other hand, is a rock in defense, and that is mainly because they do not have the scoring power that their rivals (Nigeria) have, so they have a slow pace, and they defend hard. I would be surprised if the total points go over 145.
These 2 teams met already in a friendly played in France some days ago, and the result was a clear 87-71 for the brazilians, but to believe that there is such a difference between the 2 teams can take you to a mistake. Brazil has the talent and players to even think of reaching for a medal, but they are very irregular, capable of going 27-17 in a first quarter against USA, and then throw away an 8 point margin against France, to lose in the last quarter 23-9. The boomers, on the other hand, are a good mix of young and senior players, very nicely balanced in all positions, and have been capable of stretching Spain to the limit in 2 consecutive friendlies, only losing by 6 points in both, and beating the french in their own home Paris (67-69) in their last friendly. This is simple, the odds for Australia should never be higher than 2.25/2.50, so this is a clear try for value bet.
The lines for this match have clearly underrated Russia, as they are firm candidates for a medal (silver is a real option), with one of the best rosters since 1988, when the Soviet Union broke up in different nations. Commanded by Kirilenko, and followed closely with Kaun, Shved, Mozgov, Khryapa and Monya, they are like a hammer, banging slowly the rival's options in a slow but firm pace. Great Britain is here at the Olympics only because they are hosts, and with a stream of important injuries, such as Freeland, plus other absents, such as Ben Gordon (NBA), it seems like it is going to be Luol Deng against the Russians. I would be surprised if the Russians do not win by at least 15-17 points' margin.
Argentina are a step or two better than Lithuania, who have become a remanent of what once was a great basketball nation. Bearing in mind the age of the best players in Argentina, over 31-32 years old average, but 4 of them NBA players, this match could be of a different sign if it was played later in the group stage, as there are matches every 2 days, but as it is the first one, I believe Argentina will be on top and the difference should be in the region of 8-12 pts margin minimum.
APUESTAS OTROS TIPSTERS
OTHER TIPSTERS' BETS
Cohen to beat Jovanovski @ 3.36 >>> 1-6 3-6
KALUBA (Silver Tipster)
China - Serbia = under 3.5 sets @ 2.99 >>> 3-1 sets
(14.24) JAPAN - SWEDEN (0-0) = BACK JAPAN >>> 0-0
STAKE 2 (20$) @ 3.25 (BET365)
-20$ loss
(Sunday 10.00) NIGERIA - TUNEZ = UNDER 148.5 PTS
ASIAN ODDS (Cuota asiáticas) = 1.943 - PINNACLE
EUROPEAN ODDS (Cuota europeas) = 1.909 - BET365
STAKE 3 (30$)
ANALYSIS:
Esta línea está absolutamente influenciada por el tremendo y maravilloso preolímpico que hicieron los nigerianos para acceder a los JJOO, jugando su mejor basket, venciendo a rivales superiores como Lituania, Grecia y Rep. Dominicana. 8 de los jugadores son nacidos en USA, así que hay un poco de truco ahí, pero aparte de un juego espectacular y divertido, son muy anárquicos, y si no entran los puntos con facilidad, se desesperan. Túnez, por otro lado, es una roca en defensa, debido principalmente a que no tiene el poder anotador de sus rivales (Nigeria), así que tienen un juego lento, y defienden fuerte. Me sorprendería si el total de puntos pasara de 145.This line is absolutely influenced by the tremendous and wonderful Olympic qualifying tournament the Nigerians did to get to the Olympics, playing their best ever basketball, beating superior teams like Lithuania, Greece and Dominican Republic. 8 of the players are born in the USA, so there is a bit of a trick here, but apart from a spectacular and fun watching play, they are very anarquic, and if the points do not come easily, they can become desperate. Tunisia, on the other hand, is a rock in defense, and that is mainly because they do not have the scoring power that their rivals (Nigeria) have, so they have a slow pace, and they defend hard. I would be surprised if the total points go over 145.
(Sunday 11.15) BRAZIL - AUSTRALIA = AUSTRALIA
ASIAN ODDS (Cuota asiáticas) = 3.83 - PINNACLE
EUROPEAN ODDS (Cuota europeas) = 3.50 - PAF
STAKE 1.5 (15$)
ANALYSIS:
Estas 2 selecciones ya jugaron en un amistoso en Francia hace unos días, y el resultado fue un claro 87-71 para los brasileños, pero para creer que hay tanta diferencia entre ambos puede conducir al error. Brasil tiene el talento suficiente como para pensar incluso en medalla, pero son muy irergulares, capaces de ganar 27-17 en 1º cuarto a USA, y luego tirar 8 pts. de ventaja contra Francia, para perder en el cuarto final 23-9. Los 'boomers', por su parte, son una buena mezcla de jóvenes y veteranos, bien equilibrado en todas las posiciones, y han sido capaces de poner en jaque a España en dos amistosos consecutivos, perdiendo por 6 en ambos, y venciendo a franceses en París (67-69) en su último amistoso. Es fácil de entender, las cuotas para Australia nunca deberían ser mayores que 2.25/2.50, así que es una clara apuesta de value.These 2 teams met already in a friendly played in France some days ago, and the result was a clear 87-71 for the brazilians, but to believe that there is such a difference between the 2 teams can take you to a mistake. Brazil has the talent and players to even think of reaching for a medal, but they are very irregular, capable of going 27-17 in a first quarter against USA, and then throw away an 8 point margin against France, to lose in the last quarter 23-9. The boomers, on the other hand, are a good mix of young and senior players, very nicely balanced in all positions, and have been capable of stretching Spain to the limit in 2 consecutive friendlies, only losing by 6 points in both, and beating the french in their own home Paris (67-69) in their last friendly. This is simple, the odds for Australia should never be higher than 2.25/2.50, so this is a clear try for value bet.
(Sunday 20.00) RUSSIA - GREAT BRITAIN = RUSSIA -10.5 HA
ASIAN ODDS (Cuota asiáticas) = 1.925 - PINNACLE
EUROPEAN ODDS (Cuota europeas) = 1.91 - GOLDENPARK
STAKE 4 (40$)
ANALYSIS:
Las líneas para este partido claramente subestiman a Rusia, ya que son firmes candidatos a medalla (la plata es una opción real), con uno de los mejores equipos desde 1988, cuando la Unión Soviética se desmembró en varias naciones. Comandada por Kirilenko, y seguido de cerca con Kaun, Shved, Mozgov, Khryapa y Monya, son como un martillo pilón, golpeando las opciones de sus rivales con paso lento pero firme. Gran Bretaña está en estos JJOO por ser organizadora, y con una cantidad importante de lesiones, tales como Freeland, más otros ausentes, como Ben Gordon (NBA), parece que será Luol Deng contra los rusos. Me sorprendería si los rusos no ganan por lo menos de 15-17 puntos de margen.The lines for this match have clearly underrated Russia, as they are firm candidates for a medal (silver is a real option), with one of the best rosters since 1988, when the Soviet Union broke up in different nations. Commanded by Kirilenko, and followed closely with Kaun, Shved, Mozgov, Khryapa and Monya, they are like a hammer, banging slowly the rival's options in a slow but firm pace. Great Britain is here at the Olympics only because they are hosts, and with a stream of important injuries, such as Freeland, plus other absents, such as Ben Gordon (NBA), it seems like it is going to be Luol Deng against the Russians. I would be surprised if the Russians do not win by at least 15-17 points' margin.
(Sunday 22.15) ARGENTINA - LITHUANIA = ARGENTINA -5.5 HA
ASIAN ODDS (Cuota asiáticas) = 1.925 - PINNACLE
EUROPEAN ODDS (Cuota europeas) = 1.95 - BWIN
STAKE 2 (20$)
ANALYSIS:
Argentina está uno o dos pasos por delante de Lituania, quiénes se han convertido en restos de lo que una vez fue una gran nación de baloncesto. Teniendo en cuenta la edad de los mejores jugadores argentinos, más de 31-32 años de media, pero 4 de ellos NBA, este partido podría ser de signo distinto si se jugara en fase avanzada de grupos, ya que hay partidos cada dos días, pero éste es el primero, y creo que Argentina estará a distancia de ganar por 8-12 pts de diferencia mínima.Argentina are a step or two better than Lithuania, who have become a remanent of what once was a great basketball nation. Bearing in mind the age of the best players in Argentina, over 31-32 years old average, but 4 of them NBA players, this match could be of a different sign if it was played later in the group stage, as there are matches every 2 days, but as it is the first one, I believe Argentina will be on top and the difference should be in the region of 8-12 pts margin minimum.
APUESTAS OTROS TIPSTERS
OTHER TIPSTERS' BETS
BE7MAN
(02.00) RANGERS - IQUIQUE = RANGERS DNB >>> 5-0
ASIAN ODDS (Cuota asiáticas) = 1.86 SBOBET
STAKE 3.5 (35$) >>> +30.1$ profit
(10.30) KASHIMA - HIROSHIMA = HIROSHIMA DNB >>> 2-2
ASIAN ODDS (Cuota asiáticas) = 2.02 - PINNACLE
(10.30) KASHIMA - HIROSHIMA = HIROSHIMA DNB >>> 2-2
ASIAN ODDS (Cuota asiáticas) = 2.02 - PINNACLE
STAKE 3.5 (35$) >>> +0$ (VOID)
LORDAPUESTAS (Golden Tipster)
Cohen to beat Jovanovski @ 3.36 >>> 1-6 3-6
Stake 1.5 (30$) >>> -30$ loss
Nalbandian to beat Tipsarevic @ 2.63 >>> 3-6 4-6
Nalbandian to beat Tipsarevic @ 2.63 >>> 3-6 4-6
Stake 1.5 (30$) >>> -30$ loss
Hsieh to beat Peng @ 2.02 >>> 3-6 7-6 5-7
Hsieh to beat Peng @ 2.02 >>> 3-6 7-6 5-7
Stake 1.5 (30$) >>> -30$ loss
Cirstea to beat Pennetta @ 2.02 >>> 2-6 6-4 2-6
Stake 2 (40$) >>> -40$ loss
Lu (-1.5 sets) vs Jaziri @ 2.08 >>> 6-7 6-4 3-6
Stake 1.5 (30$) >>> -30$ loss
Berlocq to beat Bogomolov @ 1.781 >>> 5-7 6-7
Stake 2 (40$) >>> -40$ loss
Lu (-1.5 sets) vs Jaziri @ 2.08 >>> 6-7 6-4 3-6
Stake 1.5 (30$) >>> -30$ loss
Istomin to beat Verdasco @ 2.08 >>> 6-4 7-6
Stake 1 (20$) >>> +21.6$ profit
Pironkova to beat Cibulkova @ 2.18 >>> 7-6 6-2
Stake 1.5 (30$) >>> +35.4$ profit
Berlocq to beat Bogomolov @ 1.781 >>> 5-7 6-7
Stake 2 (40$) >>> -40$ loss
KALUBA (Silver Tipster)
China - Serbia = under 3.5 sets @ 2.99 >>> 3-1 sets
Stake 0.75 (11.25$) >>> -11.25$ loss
APUESTAS FUTURAS
FUTURE BETS
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